KONOMEEThe economy, weighted to your concerns.
87Strong-4 vs last yearLast updated Jul 1, 2026
7/1Mortgage6.49% —•7/1S&P 5007519 ↑69.3•7/1Gas$3.95 ↓0.23•7/110y Treasury4.54% ↑0.07%•6/1Unemployment4.20% ↓0.10%•6/1Avg Earnings$32.4 ↑0.07•6/1Fed Funds3.63% —•6/1Retail Sales$768.6B ↑1.7B•
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Indicators

Inflation

CPI Inflation Rate (YoY)

3.46%
-1.00%1.50%2.50%8.00%
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Core Inflation Rate (CPI ex. Food & Energy, YoY)

2.57%
0.00%1.80%2.50%7.00%
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Labor

Unemployment Rate

4.20%
2.00%3.50%5.00%10.0%
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Average Hourly Earnings

$32.4/hr
$18.0/hr$27.0/hr$40.0/hr$55.0/hr
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Job Openings

7.6K
2.0K5.5K10.5K14.0K
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Housing

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate

6.49%
2.00%3.50%6.50%12.0%
Score: 100/100· +30 pts
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Case-Shiller Home Price Index

330.9
100.0150.0260.0400.0
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Housing Starts

1.4K
400.01.0K1.7K2.5K
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Monetary Policy

Federal Funds Rate

3.63%
0.00%1.50%4.50%10.0%
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10-Year Treasury Yield

4.54%
0.50%2.50%4.50%8.00%
Score: 99/100· +20 pts
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Markets

S&P 500 (monthly avg, YoY)

19.4%
-30.0%4.00%10.0%30.0%
Score: 49/100· +10 pts
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Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan)

44.8
50.080.0100.0110.0
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Output

Real GDP Growth Rate

2.10%
-8.00%1.50%4.50%10.0%
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Retail Sales

$768.6K
$300.0K$500.0K$800.0K$1.0M
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Industrial Production: Manufacturing

98.7
60.095.0108.0120.0
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Personal Consumption: Services

15.0K
5.0K9.0K14.0K18.0K
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Energy

Regular Gasoline Prices

$3.95/gal
$1.50/gal$2.50/gal$3.75/gal$6.00/gal
Score: 91/100· +27 pts
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